79 overall. Draft Pick Analysis: If this were an actual draft, the clock would've run out on me as I stared between Pitts' and Pollard's names on the draft board. First, you can see Robinson's value according to me in a one-quarterback league right here. Some of you reading this may not have even been born the last time a rookie tight end scored more fantasy points. You can view more current content marked with a FREE banner, You can see just how much trouble ONeal has with that speed out of the break. He discussed the situation with one of the coaches who convinced him to sign with UF, JaJuan Seider, who assured him that he would continue to be in good hands under new HC Dan Mullen. I just don't really like the idea of trading him for a package. Kyle Pitts TE | Florida Gators | 6-5 | 239 lbs. Kirk's coming off of a fantastic year in Jacksonville this past season, and the chemistry that he developed with Trevor Lawrence should only continue moving into year two. It's not uncommon for Dynasty managers to get to the 15th round and not recognize many of the names that are staring them in the face, let alone the two- to three-year prognosis for these players. Prior to Mariotas arrival, Walker had never finished better than the ninth-best fantasy tight end. However, it's impossible to ignore a top-five consensus Dynasty running back still being available towards the back end of Round 2. Sign up to receive all the latest news and annoucements. Fantasy Football Mock Draft 1.0. As an RB3 on my roster, I can live with the potential range of outcomes. Pitts tosses the LB aside, making the result possible, and making it look easy to boot. Fun trivia: Pitts was told at his first high school, Abington, that he did not possess the coordination to play the TE position. In 2022 Kyle Pitts played 10 games and accumulated 28 receptions for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns for a grand total of 47.6 fantasy points. 5 spot in this mock draft conducted on Sleeper. Kelce averaged 17.7 FPG or nearly 80% of his scoring with 11 personnel on the field. So let's start with an extended breakdown of what I would give for Robinson. All Rights Reserved. (3) Ability to produce on NFL routes. Affirmative. There's a slight possibility that Pacheco sees some competition added to this backfield this offseason, which is why I would have favored Dillon if he were still on the board, but the upside is certainly present. Essentially, dont expect the Falcons to match their eighth-highest pass rates from 2021 in 2022. Pitts was advertised as a Swiss Army Knife that can line up as a traditional tight end, as well as out wide or in the slot like a receiver and that is exactly what he did in 2021. Conversely, if two tight ends are gone by the middle of round two, keep a close eye on how the board shakes out. he was available for the next game. This is a great question and one I should probably answer at least once per year. Howard, Evan Engram, David Njoku, Eric Ebron, and Tyler Eifert are al thel TEs selected in the first round. I am not anticipating that well see Pitts utilized much on deep passes but, as Ill get to in a bit, his ability against man coverage is truly special. If Keenan Allen gets released, Palmer could be looking at 125 targets in 2023. It caps his upside as the potential TE1 in fantasy, which brings us to. Pitts suffered a nose in the win over Georgia. Pitts destroys the mismatched 5-foot-11, 181-pound Bryce Thompsons jam attempt in man coverage. If he's still available by Round 5, take him in seasonal leagues. I have picks 2, 4, 6, 10 and 12 in the rookie draft. In comparison, 45 wide receivers have averaged 20 or more FPG during that time, with Davante Adams (26.4), Tyreek Hill (21.9), and Stefon Diggs (20.9) accomplishing the feat this season. However, not all target shares can be compared evenly. Youll need to watch individual game footage, but Pitts run blocking technique has also greatly improved over the liability from his sophomore season. This time of year, however, it's a pretty good bet there will be questions about rookies. He also appears to be faster than defenders who should have the speed advantage. I cant see him putting up numbers like Kelce or Andrews, but the lack of top-end talent at the position makes Pitts a very safe bet to be a top-five fantasy tight end. So how do the three stack up? Adding youthful talent to your Dynasty roster is a must for every manager, but it all comes down to roster construction. Kyle Pitts is a 2022 fantasy football draft sleeper at tight end and an ADP draft value. The speed that we desperately need to see to project future fantasy stardom is already evident. Without question. 6-keys: media/fantasynews/nfl/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. I do not love taking him in the second round, but if Pitts is sitting there in the third round and if early best ball drafts are an indicator, he often will be Pitts is a bet worth taking. Kelce also led NFL TEs with 12.6 FPG, or 57%, of his scoring on plays where he was in motion. (4) Proper coordination to motion across the formation to maximize mismatching purposes? Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your And if anything, I may be lower than the consensus that seems to be he's already RB1 overall. On the surface, swapping Gage with London may not seem like itll have huge ramifications for Pitts fantasy value and it wont. What he did not live up to was the lofty expectations placed on Pitts by fantasy players. Not all speed is equal. Waller has to compete with Davante Adams for that honor. Pitts target competition is rookie Drake London, Bryan Edwards, Auden Tate, Damiere Byrd, and running back Cordarrelle Patterson. 32 overall, 6/9 Superflex mock: Round 7, No. And he appears perfectly comfortable in a three-point stance, attached to the O-line in his very first season at the position. Pitts has done his best to change that. For example, there is a perception by some that, Pitts was one of just three players to see 100 or more targets and catch one touchdown or less the others were, Pitts was not just good when compared to rookie tight ends. That includes both Kansas City and Las Vegas. Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. On the flip side, if you're rebuilding, there's no question you should deal Diggs. And theyve been treated as such. He's behind Travis Kelce of the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens There is enough talent around Pitts that should help take some defensive coverage away from him, but not enough to funnel volume away. I have picks 2, 4, 6, 10 and 12 in the rookie draft. Finding the right value is a tricky game. He also ranked second in air yards at 1,110, second in air yard share (28 percent), second in air yards per target (10.1), third in deep targets, tenth in red zone targets (15), and fourth in routes ran (467). On the very next play (2:40), LSU DC Dave Aranda pulls down safety Grant Delpit on Pitts. He also led the position with 45 targets while lined out wide, only two others (Mike Gesicki and Travis Kelce) had more than 22. He was being drafted as a top-five tight end off the board and some even pulled him up to the top three. As well as two 1s next year (likely 2 mid firsts) . Pitts accumulated an average stat line of 2.8 receptions for 35.6 yards and .2 touchdowns per game last season. Target Pitts as an undervalued TE in fantasy football drafts. Kyle Pitts's fantasy value is measured by the players he could be traded for. I still believe in the talent, he'll still be just 22 years old at the start of the season, his situation is unlikely to get worse, and his price has never been lower. He still ranked 6th among 32 qualifying TEs in yards per route run, though, and sms. When Pitts was drafted, he was labeled as the best rookie tight end in quite some time arguably ever. Don't have an account? He is one of just two rookie tight ends since 1967 to top 900 yards, let alone 1,000. That value is fine for a tight end of his stature, though dont reach on Kittle due to his injury history. As you can see, Pitts' ADP has been a rocket ship just in the last month going from a seventh-round pick to a mid-fourth-round pick. Dynasty Draft Profile: Kyle Pitts Wes Huber Follow February 16, 2021 2:00pm EST Kyle Pitts TE | Florida Gators | 6-5 | 239 lbs. The Falcons will have to up the tempo. Mock Draft Machine Beta Testing Has Begun! Unguardable might be the perfect nickname for Pitts. While I know I say this a lot, it's the worst place to be. Evidence of production from a detached alignment. Pitts target competition is rookie. Draft Pick Analysis: Burks certainly did not have an out-of-this-world productive rookie season, but that doesn't mean we should be completely off of the former Arkansas wideout from a Dynasty standpoint. The upside for Pollard moving forward is absolutely insane if he becomes the featured back in Dallas - or somewhere else via free agency - but the value point for Pitts was too good to pass up. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Since he collected every single catchable target during his junior season, I really dont think we can consider that as a flaw, moving forward. Had they closed off the middle in Cover 3, the deep safety wouldve been all over this seam route. This was a major disappointment after Pitts came I have picks 2, 4, 6, 10 and 12 in the rookie draft. I also completely agree with his Archbishop Wood coaches concerning his talent at DE. Davante Adams is about a year older than Diggs and has continued to be awesome. Our very first example of a deep target to Pitts isnt shown until the 0:53 mark, completely handling a CB in man coverage on the back-shoulder go. All Rights Reserved. The next highest player on the list was Waller, with 151-of-559. Still, Kyle Pitts was supposed to be THE guy. Should Pitts test out the way I think he will at his Pro Day, he could end up being selected at No. Before we dig into the story on Kyle Pitts, lets touch on the difference-making potential in fantasy from truly special performers at the tight end position. That would be a mistake.. These gaps in zone coverage will show up on every play, but recognition can be tricky. There are so many great players available at that point in a draft. The stuff he did in the Alabama game cannot be described with words. Even Kyle Pitts. Another of the factors that we want to see from our TEs is success on NFL routes. He averaged 5.7 yards per carry as a rookie and the Bills have already talked about increasing his role from 2022. Just last year he provided WR3 production as a rookie. 2.6k shares. Evan Engram is fast. Unfortunately, his 2022 season was a nightmare for fantasy players. But we can pull some helpful information out of how that pair succeeded. After his rookie year, it looked like he would Avenues towards attempting to predict a TE averaging close to 20 FPG would begin and end with looking at Kelce and Waller repeating their 2020 results. Rob Gronkowski did it in 2011 (20.7) and Travis Kelce submitted the second such result with 22.2 FPG this season. 59 overall, 8/12 half-PPR 10-team: Round 6, No. Evaluating Pitts from the four keys to TE fantasy success listed above: (1) Speed? "Matthew Berry, ESPN. With Georgia in Cover 2-Man at 3:57, Pitts reminds us how much of a mistake it can be to utilize LBs in coverage, here with Monty Price paying the price. This is an extremely revealing data point. I would be more interested in trying to turn Swift and something into a top-10 wide receiver. However, adding him as a WR3 - as I did here - is an excellent way to balance your roster. Guys like A.J. His 20 percent target share ranked third among tight ends and he was just one of three to see five or more targets in 15 games. Just look at what he does at 3:42. Kyle Pitts will be better in 2023 than he was in 2022. Watching that game in real time failed to leave the same impression I came away with on second viewing. Kyle Pitts enters his first Fantasy Football season as that one player we see every August whose ADP starts going up and seemingly never stops because there will always be analysts like myself who still see a path to beat out his ADP regardless of where it lands. 59 overall, 7/20 half-PPR mock: Round 5, No. If you dont feel great about the next tier of tight ends, you should target Pitts over Kittle and Waller, just not by much. Even with a down year - due to some poor quarterback play - Pitts is still going to be just 22 years old when the 2023 NFL season commences, so we shouldn't let his value go too far down the board. Green and Allen Robinson seemingly hit a wall. 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A QB change would potentially lower Pitts's weekly floor, but Ridder has more upside than Mariota, who is a known commodity at this level, meaning that Pitts would bring some more upside.. The Atlanta Falcons will receive a visit from one of the 2023 NFL Draft's top tight ends in Iowa's Sam LaPorta. These two face off again at 3:14, Stingley doing everything he can to separate Pitts from the ball on yet another post. Devlin fell in love with Pitts ability, so much so that he played him on both sides of the ball. Finding tight ends who can make a weekly difference can be the key component in a Championship roster -- as was the case for Darren Waller and Travis Kelce managers in 2020. These routes limit usage of his jump-cut ability. His 20 percent target share ranked third among tight ends and he was just one of three to see five or more targets in 15 games. I have picks 2, 4, 6, 10 and 12 in the rookie draft. The most notable difference is the growth within his frame. That number jumps slightly to an average of seven touchdowns when you raise it to 110 targets. NFL No. Pitts is no longer the main big-body target in Atlanta. 2022 Kyle Pitts Fantasy Football Overview: By all objective, real-life football measures, Kyle Pitts had a dominant rookie campaign. How can that be explained? He also led the position with 45 targets while lined out wide, only two others (, After what Pitts did as a rookie, there should be plenty of optimism about what he could do as a sophomore in the NFL. bunch of questions about the same guy, or the same pick, Bijan Robinson at 1.01. I am blown away with his junior highlights. Unfortunately, his 2022 season was a nightmare for fantasy players. However, Pitts has a greater chance of being his teams top target. The fact that he doesnt snag this with his hands can be considered preference. With the uncertainty surrounding Swift and his actual role in Detroit is it worth selling him for a mixture of picks and WR depth? Pitts aided his team toward securing PIAA Class 5A Championships in both of his seasons with the Vikings. We still saw flashes, though, of what he can be for fantasy football when he's healthy, and the Colts are going to be a much different team in 2023 than the train wreck that we saw on the field this past season. As for Kittle and Waller, theyve each finished as top-three tight ends twice in the last three seasons. Draft Pick Analysis: Running back was a priority with the first two selections, but it was put on the back burner for the next several rounds. He finished with the second-most receiving yards by a rookie tight end, trailing only Mike Ditka, and he scored the fourth-most fantasy points ever by a rookie tight end. Pitts ADP (Average Draft Position) places him behind Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews and ahead of George Kittle and Darren Waller, per FantasyPros. NFL offenses will continue to evolve, forcing us to follow suit with our evaluation process. Free shipping for many products! Kyle Pitts Fantasy Rookie Forecast NFL | Fantasy Football Written by Nick Lemma June 11, 2021 Kyle Pitts Fantasy Historically drafting a tight end in the first round has not played out well for teams, but Kyle Pitts is a different calibre of player that could help break that trend. He routinely beat SEC CBs when lined up as a receiver, and both linebackers and safeties when lined up as a tight end. The one aspect that might give him the most trouble is facing the better zone coverages. Lastly, the biggest thing in fantasy sports is draft cost. Or see if I can leverage him into an elite quarterback. He has an elite wide receiver duo in Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. He did so for his three full seasons with Mariota, finishing as high as third at the position. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Instead, we should expect a regression to the mean. This site is not endorsed by, sponsored by, or affiliated with these schools or teams. This game against LSU stands as Pitts first career 100-yard performance. Were the Falcons to select Florida tight end Kyle Pitts with the fourth overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft, as I had them doing in my most recent mock, it would make Pitts the highest-picked college tight end in the history of professional football.The Rams took LSUs Billy Cannon with the first overall pick in the 1960 draft, Cannon chose to play with This is a good question, and it's the right time in Diggs' career to be asking the question. Over the last 10 seasons, T.J. Hockenson, Noah Fant, Hayden Hurst, O.J. 9 min read Its been a weird, but good journey , said Kyle Pitts, nearly five months before becoming the highest-drafted tight end in NFL history. Pitts accumulated an average stat line of 2.8 receptions for 35.6 yards and .2 touchdowns per game last season. For now, I pretty strongly prefer Bryce Young to C.J. I wouldn't be that surprised if he's better than Isiah Pacheco, Brian Robinson, and Tyler Allgeier next year. 7.11 - Zach Evans (RB - 2023 Rookie) 7.12 - Mike Williams (WR - Los Angeles Chargers) Draft Pick Analysis: The balance of a Dynasty startup draft is knowing when to prioritize youth versus capitalizing on value for veterans. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Just as weve already seen numerous times before, these 40-50 pound mismatches do not end well. QB play will be the limiting factor wherever Pitts is drafted. To start, Pitts is probably the most talented TE prospect to ever come into the NFL. 3:47 pm ET, Quentin Johnston: Rookie scouting profile, Dynasty TE rankings: Watch the free agents. Even after former HC Jim McElwain was dismissed in 2015, Pitts remained loyal. On the very next play (2:29), Pitts is defended in man by LSU star CB Derek Stingley Jr., and he utilizes another skinny post with excellent results. 54 overall8/6 PPR Superflex mock: Round 5, No. The added benefit to select him as the WR1 for my Dynasty roster is that the Jets are in line to get a massive quarterback upgrade this offseason. Would you just stay put and take Gibbs and best WR at 1.2+1.3 assuming 1.2 would be in the deal?Bench is full of guys to cut except Dak, Dulcich and Kmet. Jumping ahead to 1:50 facing a talented Texas A&M defense, we see safety Leon ONeal Jr. in man on Pitts. Playing within the Pro Style offense certainly helped with his learning curve. Looking ahead to 2023 and beyond, the Colts are committed to finding a long-term answer at football's most important position, and that could be the key for Pittman working his way up the Dynasty rankings. Just dont expect it to help Pitts, either.. When I rewatched the SEC Championship, Pitts simply took my breath away. And if you have him, the only move is to plan on starting Kyle Pitts. Looking at the plays at 2:17 and 2:34 facing Georgia, Pitts can be seen manipulating his coverage unlike any TE Ive seen in college football. We have one of the most uniquely gifted TEs in the history of the game. I referenced this play above (1:23) as allowing the pass into his body. Additionally, Pitts should continue to see heavy volume and very easily could top his 110 targets from last year. If you're one of these managers that's about to head into a Dynasty startup draft this offseason, don't fret! You don't draft a tight end fourth overall if you don't think he'll be a star. Now with a year under his belt, there is plenty of reasons to be optimistic about Pitts., After what Pitts did as a rookie, there should be plenty of optimism about what he could do as a sophomore in the NFL. 2.6k shares. 4 overall pick in the NFL draft. Not only does Pitts display the awareness to find holes in the zone coverages, hes able to locate the ball, and keep his body under control to work after the catch. For example, there is a perception by some that Kyle Pitts was a bust last season and that could not be further from reality., When Pitts was drafted with the fourth overall pick, as the first non-QB off the board, expectations just shot up and up. pin. Weight-adjusted speed is the ultimate key. When Pitts recorded a 4.70 second 40-yard dash time at 6-foot-6, 240 pounds at the 17 Nike Opening in Beaverton, Oregon, his ticket toward becoming a top TE prospect had been punched. 2.6k shares. While Robinson is younger, I actually believe Lamb should be a productive player for longer, and I definitely expect him to be more impactful in 2023. The ADP of Kyle Pitts was taken from Fantasy Football Calculator for PPR scoring on August 25th and sees Pitts taken with the 34th (3.10) pick and the third TE drafted. We want to see him collecting these with his hands, but sometimes that option can be eliminated by the coverage defender. It wouldn't shock me at all at this time next year to see Wilson's name in the first round of Dynasty Startups. Moore (WR - Carolina Panthers), 8.07 - A.J. I think it really depends on who is throwing Pitts the ball come game day. The quarterback play in Tennessee last year was up-and-down, but Burks showed that he could be an impactful fantasy wideout if given the opportunity. 64 overall, 6/16 full-PPR mock: Round 3, No. That information tells us that the pair benefited when the offense employed increased spacing. 32 overall6/9 Superflex mock: Round 7, No. He managed to make SEC players look outclassed thanks in large part to his 6-foot-6, 245-pound frame mixed with 4.44 speed. Past success is a great potential indicator for future success the keyword being potential. Just because Pitts posted those numbers doesnt mean hes a lock for replicating them. Pitts suffered a left foot injury during the game against Texas A&M. And you should view Diggs through both lenses. The Atlanta Falcons made history Thursday night, selecting Florida tight end Kyle Pitts with the No. Anthony The offensive line took a step backward, the quarterbacks couldn't complete a pass, and Taylor was dealing with a nagging injury for most of the season. He should be drafted as a top-six TE with the kind of upside that could challenge the top-three at the position, even as a rookie. Kyle Pitts was drafted #4 overall in the 2021 draft and for good reason. The average NFL team passed the ball 58% of the time, whereas the Falcons passed on 61% of their plays. Waller averaged 9.9 FPG, or 51%. He missed two games. The pair also finished first and second in air yards/game (93.0 for Kelce, 76.3 for Waller). WebAll Combine and Draft-Related Analysis, News, Video, and Biographical Information for Kyle Pitts For example, Pitts has a late third-round value in 12-team PPR leagues, but if only one tight end is off the board then, you can afford to wait on Pitts.
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